Value and Momentum from Investors’ Perspective: Evidence from Professionals’ Risk-Ratings

Published in Working Paper, 2020

Recommended citation: Merkle, Christoph, and Christoph Sextroh. (2020). "Value and Momentum from Investors Perspective: Evidence from Professionals Risk Ratings." Working Paper.

We conduct a controlled experiment with financial professionals to examine more directly whether value and momentum reflect risk factors or mispricing. By eliciting their risk perceptions and return expectations for company stocks, we identify what constitutes a risky investment from the point of investors. Contrary to the risk factor hypothesis, value and momentum stocks are regarded as less risky. However, other factors such as size and beta fall in line with their traditional interpretation as risk factors. Consistent with empirical findings, we observe higher return expectations for momentum stocks, raising questions on analysts believing in a risk-return trade-off.

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JEL codes: D84, G11, G12, G40.

Keywords: Value, Momentum, Risk factor, Anomaly, Financial Analysts.